English Football League Cup

Tottenham vs Charlton prediction

5 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Tottenham vs Charlton (English Football League Cup), 27/08/2026, finished 5-1: Tottenham won. Before the match Jarvis gave Tottenham 82%, the draw 12% and Charlton 6%; the actual result had a 82% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 6 goals; Jarvis expected 3.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Tottenham
82%
Draw
12%
Charlton
6%
Actual result: Tottenham 5 – 1 Charlton · Tottenham winJarvis gave this outcome: 82% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Tottenham, negative favours Charlton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Tottenham - Charlton)+2.17
Expected total goals3.48
Expected goals Tottenham / Charlton2.83 / 0.66
Both teams to score (yes / no)45.1% / 54.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.1%
Over 2.5 goals 67.6%
Over 3.5 goals 46.0%
First half
First-half result (Tottenham / draw / Charlton)62.2% / 29.1% / 8.7%
A goal in the first half79.3%
Two or more in the first half46.2%
Half-time then full-time
Tottenham lead at half-time then Tottenham win59.2%
Level at half-time then Tottenham win19.7%
Level at half-time then draw6.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Tottenham's side
Tottenham −2.051.4%
Tottenham −1.7556.8%
Tottenham −1.562.3%
Tottenham −1.2567.3%
Tottenham −1.072.2%
Tottenham −0.7577.1%
Tottenham −0.582.1%
Tottenham −0.2585.0%
Tottenham draw no bet (0.0)88.0%
Tottenham +0.2590.9%
Tottenham +0.593.9%
Tottenham +0.7595.0%
Tottenham +1.096.2%
Tottenham +1.598.6%
Tottenham +2.099.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Tottenham win1.22
Draw8.51
Charlton win16.26
Over 2.51.48
Under 2.53.09

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Tottenham wins by more than 1 goals62%
Charlton wins by more than 1 goals1%
Corners
Expected total corners10.1
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards1.8
2.5+ cards in the match26%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Other matches on 27/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.