UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Tromso vs Brighton prediction

0 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Tromso vs Brighton (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 21/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Tromso
13%
Draw
22%
Brighton
64%
Actual result: Tromso 0 – 0 Brighton · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 22%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Tromso, negative favours Brighton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Tromso - Brighton)-1.22
Expected total goals2.94
Expected goals Tromso / Brighton0.86 / 2.08
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.7% / 48.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.4%
Over 2.5 goals 56.4%
Over 3.5 goals 34.0%
First half
First-half result (Tromso / draw / Brighton)13.7% / 39.5% / 46.8%
A goal in the first half72.2%
Two or more in the first half39.4%
Half-time then full-time
Brighton lead at half-time then Brighton win42.3%
Level at half-time then Brighton win20.3%
Level at half-time then draw13.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Tromso's side
Tromso −2.02.8%
Tromso −1.753.7%
Tromso −1.54.5%
Tromso −1.256.7%
Tromso −1.09.0%
Tromso −0.7511.2%
Tromso −0.513.4%
Tromso −0.2519.0%
Tromso draw no bet (0.0)24.5%
Tromso +0.2530.1%
Tromso +0.535.6%
Tromso +0.7541.4%
Tromso +1.047.2%
Tromso +1.558.7%
Tromso +2.068.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Tromso win7.45
Draw4.50
Brighton win1.55
Over 2.51.77
Under 2.52.29

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Tromso wins by more than 1 goals5%
Brighton wins by more than 1 goals41%
Corners
Expected total corners9.4
6.5+ corners in the match47%
Cards
Expected total cards3.0
2.5+ cards in the match59%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Other matches on 21/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.