Italian Serie A

AC Monza vs Udinese prediction

2 – 3

Full-time

Match summary

AC Monza vs Udinese (Serie A), 29/08/2026, finished 2-3: Udinese won. Before the match Jarvis gave AC Monza 29%, the draw 33% and Udinese 38%; the actual result had a 38% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 1.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

AC Monza

29%

Draw

33%

Udinese

38%

Actual result: AC Monza 2 – 3 Udinese · Udinese winJarvis gave this outcome: 38% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours AC Monza, negative favours Udinese) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (AC Monza - Udinese)-0.17

Expected total goals1.85

Expected goals AC Monza / Udinese0.84 / 1.01

Both teams to score (yes / no)36.6% / 63.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 55.7%

Over 2.5 goals 28.3%

Over 3.5 goals 11.7%

First half

First-half result (AC Monza / draw / Udinese)21.3% / 51.8% / 26.8%

A goal in the first half56.2%

Two or more in the first half20.6%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw24.2%

Udinese lead at half-time then Udinese win21.6%

AC Monza lead at half-time then AC Monza win15.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from AC Monza's side

AC Monza −2.06.0%

AC Monza −1.757.8%

AC Monza −1.59.6%

AC Monza −1.2514.4%

AC Monza −1.019.2%

AC Monza −0.7524.0%

AC Monza −0.528.8%

AC Monza −0.2537.1%

AC Monza draw no bet (0.0)45.4%

AC Monza +0.2553.7%

AC Monza +0.561.9%

AC Monza +0.7567.7%

AC Monza +1.073.5%

AC Monza +1.585.1%

AC Monza +2.090.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

AC Monza win3.47

Draw3.02

Udinese win2.63

Over 2.53.54

Under 2.51.39

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

AC Monza wins by more than 1 goals10%

Udinese wins by more than 1 goals15%

Corners

Expected total corners9.0

6.5+ corners in the match54%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

AC Monza

vs CagliariMon 19/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
vs Torino (away)Sat 24/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Udinese

vs LecceSun 18/10, 17:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
vs AC MilanMon 26/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 29/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Internazionale	6	+10	16
2	Lazio	6	+7	16
3	AS Roma	6	+11	14
...
14	Bologna	6	-2	5
15	Udinese	6	-4	4
16	Monza	6	-6	4
17	Genoa	6	-6	4

See the full Serie A table