Spanish La Liga

Racing Santander vs Elche prediction

Racing Santander

3 – 2

Full-time

Elche

Match summary

Racing Santander vs Elche (La Liga), 29/08/2026, finished 3-2: Racing Santander won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Racing Santander

49%

Draw

27%

Elche

24%

Actual result: Racing Santander 3 – 2 Elche · Racing Santander winJarvis gave this outcome: 49% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Racing Santander, negative favours Elche) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Racing Santander - Elche)+0.56

Expected total goals2.76

Expected goals Racing Santander / Elche1.66 / 1.10

Both teams to score (yes / no)55.4% / 44.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 77.6%

Over 2.5 goals 52.1%

Over 3.5 goals 29.9%

First half

First-half result (Racing Santander / draw / Elche)36.3% / 43.2% / 20.5%

A goal in the first half69.8%

Two or more in the first half36.5%

Half-time then full-time

Racing Santander lead at half-time then Racing Santander win30.5%

Level at half-time then Racing Santander win17.1%

Level at half-time then draw16.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Racing Santander's side

Racing Santander −2.019.3%

Racing Santander −1.7523.1%

Racing Santander −1.527.0%

Racing Santander −1.2532.5%

Racing Santander −1.038.0%

Racing Santander −0.7543.6%

Racing Santander −0.549.1%

Racing Santander −0.2555.9%

Racing Santander draw no bet (0.0)62.7%

Racing Santander +0.2569.5%

Racing Santander +0.576.2%

Racing Santander +0.7579.8%

Racing Santander +1.083.3%

Racing Santander +1.590.4%

Racing Santander +2.093.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Racing Santander win2.04

Draw3.68

Elche win4.21

Over 2.51.92

Under 2.52.09

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Racing Santander wins by more than 1 goals27%

Elche wins by more than 1 goals10%

Corners

Expected total corners9.6

6.5+ corners in the match50%

Cards

Expected total cards4.2

2.5+ cards in the match42%