German Bundesliga

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart prediction

5 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart (Bundesliga), 29/08/2026, finished 5-1: Bayern Munich won. Before the match Jarvis gave Bayern Munich 79%, the draw 12% and Stuttgart 8%; the actual result had a 79% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-1. The match had 6 goals; Jarvis expected 4.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Bayern Munich
79%
Draw
12%
Stuttgart
8%
Actual result: Bayern Munich 5 – 1 Stuttgart · Bayern Munich winJarvis gave this outcome: 79% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bayern Munich, negative favours Stuttgart) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Bayern Munich - Stuttgart)+2.24
Expected total goals4.47
Expected goals Bayern Munich / Stuttgart3.36 / 1.11
Both teams to score (yes / no)65.2% / 34.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 94.1%
Over 2.5 goals 82.3%
Over 3.5 goals 65.3%
First half
First-half result (Bayern Munich / draw / Stuttgart)61.5% / 27.2% / 11.3%
A goal in the first half85.8%
Two or more in the first half60.5%
Half-time then full-time
Bayern Munich lead at half-time then Bayern Munich win57.8%
Level at half-time then Bayern Munich win18.0%
Level at half-time then draw6.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Bayern Munich's side
Bayern Munich −2.053.0%
Bayern Munich −1.7557.8%
Bayern Munich −1.562.6%
Bayern Munich −1.2566.9%
Bayern Munich −1.071.1%
Bayern Munich −0.7575.3%
Bayern Munich −0.579.5%
Bayern Munich −0.2582.5%
Bayern Munich draw no bet (0.0)85.6%
Bayern Munich +0.2588.7%
Bayern Munich +0.591.7%
Bayern Munich +0.7593.0%
Bayern Munich +1.094.4%
Bayern Munich +1.597.1%
Bayern Munich +2.098.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Bayern Munich win1.26
Draw8.18
Stuttgart win12.06
Over 2.51.22
Under 2.55.65

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Bayern Munich wins by more than 1 goals62%
Stuttgart wins by more than 1 goals3%
Corners
Expected total corners10.1
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards2.0
2.5+ cards in the match33%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs ArsenalThu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs SC Freiburg (away)Sun 25/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27
  • vs Atletico MadridWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Borussia MonchengladbachSat 24/10, 01:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27

Other matches on 29/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Bundesliga table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich6+1714
2Borussia Dortmund6+714
3SC Freiburg5+1013
...
12FC Cologne6-37
13VfB Stuttgart6-26
14Schalke 046-35

See the full Bundesliga table