Portuguese Primeira Liga

Academico de Viseu vs Porto prediction

0 – 3
Full-time

Match summary

Academico de Viseu vs Porto (Portuguese Primeira Liga), 30/08/2026, finished 0-3: Porto won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Academico de Viseu
9%
Draw
18%
Porto
73%
Actual result: Academico de Viseu 0 – 3 Porto · Porto winJarvis gave this outcome: 73% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Academico de Viseu, negative favours Porto) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Academico de Viseu - Porto)-1.53
Expected total goals2.66
Expected goals Academico de Viseu / Porto0.57 / 2.09
Both teams to score (yes / no)38.0% / 62.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 goals 49.6%
Over 3.5 goals 27.7%
First half
First-half result (Academico de Viseu / draw / Porto)9.7% / 38.1% / 52.2%
A goal in the first half69.7%
Two or more in the first half33.7%
Half-time then full-time
Porto lead at half-time then Porto win48.9%
Level at half-time then Porto win22.0%
Level at half-time then draw12.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Academico de Viseu's side
Academico de Viseu −2.01.1%
Academico de Viseu −1.751.5%
Academico de Viseu −1.52.0%
Academico de Viseu −1.253.6%
Academico de Viseu −1.05.3%
Academico de Viseu −0.757.0%
Academico de Viseu −0.58.6%
Academico de Viseu −0.2513.2%
Academico de Viseu draw no bet (0.0)17.8%
Academico de Viseu +0.2522.4%
Academico de Viseu +0.526.9%
Academico de Viseu +0.7533.2%
Academico de Viseu +1.039.5%
Academico de Viseu +1.552.0%
Academico de Viseu +2.063.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Academico de Viseu win11.58
Draw5.46
Porto win1.37
Over 2.52.01
Under 2.51.99

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Academico de Viseu wins by more than 1 goals2%
Porto wins by more than 1 goals48%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs PSV EindhovenWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs NapoliThu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 30/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.