Italian Serie A

Juventus vs Parma prediction

2 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Juventus vs Parma (Serie A), 30/08/2026, finished 2-0: Juventus won. Before the match Jarvis gave Juventus 79%, the draw 15% and Parma 6%; the actual result had a 79% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Juventus

79%

Draw

15%

Parma

Actual result: Juventus 2 – 0 Parma · Juventus winJarvis gave this outcome: 79% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Juventus, negative favours Parma) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Juventus - Parma)+1.84

Expected total goals2.83

Expected goals Juventus / Parma2.33 / 0.50

Both teams to score (yes / no)35.2% / 64.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 77.3%

Over 2.5 goals 53.7%

Over 3.5 goals 31.4%

First half

First-half result (Juventus / draw / Parma)57.3% / 34.7% / 7.9%

A goal in the first half72.1%

Two or more in the first half36.2%

Half-time then full-time

Juventus lead at half-time then Juventus win54.6%

Level at half-time then Juventus win21.9%

Level at half-time then draw10.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Juventus's side

Juventus −2.043.7%

Juventus −1.7549.5%

Juventus −1.555.3%

Juventus −1.2561.2%

Juventus −1.067.1%

Juventus −0.7573.0%

Juventus −0.578.9%

Juventus −0.2582.6%

Juventus draw no bet (0.0)86.3%

Juventus +0.2590.0%

Juventus +0.593.7%

Juventus +0.7594.9%

Juventus +1.096.2%

Juventus +1.598.8%

Juventus +2.099.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Juventus win1.27

Draw6.78

Parma win15.81

Over 2.51.86

Under 2.52.16

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Juventus wins by more than 1 goals55%

Parma wins by more than 1 goals1%

Corners

Expected total corners9.9

6.5+ corners in the match53%

Cards

Expected total cards2.1

2.5+ cards in the match35%