French Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Nice prediction

3 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Paris FC vs Nice (Ligue 1), 30/08/2026, finished 3-0: Paris FC won. Before the match Jarvis gave Paris FC 46%, the draw 30% and Nice 25%; the actual result had a 46% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Paris FC

46%

Draw

30%

Nice

25%

Actual result: Paris FC 3 – 0 Nice · Paris FC winJarvis gave this outcome: 46% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Paris FC, negative favours Nice) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Paris FC - Nice)+0.44

Expected total goals2.54

Expected goals Paris FC / Nice1.49 / 1.05

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.2% / 47.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.0%

Over 2.5 goals 46.7%

Over 3.5 goals 25.1%

First half

First-half result (Paris FC / draw / Nice)33.5% / 45.9% / 20.6%

A goal in the first half66.6%

Two or more in the first half33.2%

Half-time then full-time

Paris FC lead at half-time then Paris FC win27.8%

Level at half-time then draw19.0%

Level at half-time then Paris FC win16.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Paris FC's side

Paris FC −2.016.5%

Paris FC −1.7520.1%

Paris FC −1.523.7%

Paris FC −1.2529.2%

Paris FC −1.034.6%

Paris FC −0.7540.1%

Paris FC −0.545.5%

Paris FC −0.2553.0%

Paris FC draw no bet (0.0)60.4%

Paris FC +0.2567.8%

Paris FC +0.575.3%

Paris FC +0.7578.9%

Paris FC +1.082.6%

Paris FC +1.590.0%

Paris FC +2.093.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Paris FC win2.20

Draw3.36

Nice win4.04

Over 2.52.14

Under 2.51.87

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Paris FC wins by more than 1 goals24%

Nice wins by more than 1 goals10%

Corners

Expected total corners9.9

6.5+ corners in the match53%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Paris FC

vs Stade RennaisSun 18/10, 22:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs Lens (away)Sun 25/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Nice

vs Lyon (away)Mon 19/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs Brest (away)Sat 24/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 30/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AS Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Stade Rennais	6	+2	13
4	Lyon	6	+7	11
5	Paris FC	6	+4	11
6	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
...
9	Lorient	6	0	8
10	Nice	6	-2	8
11	Lens	6	+1	7

See the full Ligue 1 table