English Premier League

Leeds vs Brentford prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Leeds vs Brentford (Premier League), 30/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Leeds 37%, the draw 30% and Brentford 34%; the actual result had a 30% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Leeds

37%

Draw

30%

Brentford

34%

Actual result: Leeds 1 – 1 Brentford · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 30%

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Leeds, negative favours Brentford) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Leeds - Brentford)+0.06

Expected total goals2.59

Expected goals Leeds / Brentford1.32 / 1.27

Market-standard price (decimal)

Leeds win2.73

Draw3.38

Brentford win2.96

Over 2.52.09

Under 2.51.92

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals47.9%

Over 3.5 goals26.2%

Over 1.5 goals74.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Leeds's side

Leeds draw no bet (0.0)51.4%

Leeds −0.2544.0%

Leeds +0.2558.8%

Leeds −0.536.6%

Leeds +0.566.2%

Leeds −0.7531.7%

Leeds +0.7570.8%

Leeds −1.026.9%

Leeds +1.075.4%

Leeds −1.2522.1%

Leeds −1.517.2%

Leeds +1.584.6%

Leeds −1.7514.4%

Leeds −2.011.7%

Leeds +2.089.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Leeds wins by more than 1 goals17%

Brentford wins by more than 1 goals15%

Both teams to score (yes / no)54.3% / 45.7%

First half

First-half result (Leeds / draw / Brentford)28.2% / 45.4% / 26.5%

A goal in the first half67.5%

Two or more in the first half33.8%

Half-time then full-time

Leeds lead at half-time then Leeds win21.7%

Brentford lead at half-time then Brentford win19.9%

Level at half-time then draw18.6%

Corners

Expected total corners10.1

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Cards

Expected total cards3.3

2.5+ cards in the match42%

Next fixtures of both teams

Leeds

vs Manchester UnitedSun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 40% / 28% / 32%
vs Sunderland (away)Sun 25/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Brentford

vs Hull City (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
vs Nottingham ForestSat 31/10, 22:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 30/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	+12	21
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
...
5	Liverpool	7	+1	12
6	Brentford	7	+5	10
7	Everton	7	+1	10
8	Leeds United	6	+3	9
9	Hull City	7	+1	9

See the full Premier League table