Spanish Segunda Division

AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas prediction

AD Ceuta FC

0 – 2

Full-time

Las Palmas

Match summary

AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas (Spanish Segunda Division), 23/08/2026, finished 0-2: Las Palmas won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

AD Ceuta FC

34%

Draw

28%

Las Palmas

38%

Actual result: AD Ceuta FC 0 – 2 Las Palmas · Las Palmas winJarvis gave this outcome: 38% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours AD Ceuta FC, negative favours Las Palmas) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (AD Ceuta FC - Las Palmas)-0.08

Expected total goals2.89

Expected goals AD Ceuta FC / Las Palmas1.41 / 1.49

Both teams to score (yes / no)59.9% / 40.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 79.9%

Over 2.5 goals 55.2%

Over 3.5 goals 32.9%

First half

First-half result (AD Ceuta FC / draw / Las Palmas)27.4% / 43.0% / 29.6%

A goal in the first half71.3%

Two or more in the first half38.9%

Half-time then full-time

Las Palmas lead at half-time then Las Palmas win22.8%

AD Ceuta FC lead at half-time then AD Ceuta FC win20.4%

Level at half-time then draw16.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from AD Ceuta FC's side

AD Ceuta FC −2.011.3%

AD Ceuta FC −1.7513.9%

AD Ceuta FC −1.516.5%

AD Ceuta FC −1.2521.0%

AD Ceuta FC −1.025.4%

AD Ceuta FC −0.7529.9%

AD Ceuta FC −0.534.3%

AD Ceuta FC −0.2541.3%

AD Ceuta FC draw no bet (0.0)48.2%

AD Ceuta FC +0.2555.2%

AD Ceuta FC +0.562.1%

AD Ceuta FC +0.7566.9%

AD Ceuta FC +1.071.6%

AD Ceuta FC +1.581.1%

AD Ceuta FC +2.086.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

AD Ceuta FC win2.91

Draw3.60

Las Palmas win2.64

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.52.23

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

AD Ceuta FC wins by more than 1 goals16%

Las Palmas wins by more than 1 goals19%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 23/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.