French Ligue 1

Nice vs Lorient prediction

0 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Nice vs Lorient (Ligue 1), 23/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Nice 40%, the draw 31% and Lorient 29%; the actual result had a 31% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Nice
40%
Draw
31%
Lorient
29%
Actual result: Nice 0 – 0 Lorient · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 31%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Nice, negative favours Lorient) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Nice - Lorient)+0.24
Expected total goals2.37
Expected goals Nice / Lorient1.30 / 1.06
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.6% / 50.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.3%
Over 2.5 goals 42.2%
Over 3.5 goals 21.5%
First half
First-half result (Nice / draw / Lorient)29.8% / 47.5% / 22.7%
A goal in the first half64.2%
Two or more in the first half30.2%
Half-time then full-time
Nice lead at half-time then Nice win24.0%
Level at half-time then draw20.4%
Lorient lead at half-time then Lorient win16.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Nice's side
Nice −2.013.0%
Nice −1.7516.1%
Nice −1.519.1%
Nice −1.2524.4%
Nice −1.029.7%
Nice −0.7535.0%
Nice −0.540.2%
Nice −0.2548.0%
Nice draw no bet (0.0)55.8%
Nice +0.2563.7%
Nice +0.571.5%
Nice +0.7575.7%
Nice +1.079.9%
Nice +1.588.3%
Nice +2.092.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Nice win2.49
Draw3.20
Lorient win3.50
Over 2.52.37
Under 2.51.73

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Nice wins by more than 1 goals19%
Lorient wins by more than 1 goals12%
Corners
Expected total corners9.7
6.5+ corners in the match51%
Cards
Expected total cards3.0
2.5+ cards in the match58%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Lyon (away)Mon 19/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Brest (away)Sat 24/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs AS MonacoSun 18/10, 22:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Angers (away)Sun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 23/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Monaco6+514
2Lille6+513
3Stade Rennais6+213
...
8Brest6+38
9Lorient608
10Nice6-28
11Lens6+17

See the full Ligue 1 table