French Ligue 1

ESTAC Troyes vs Paris FC prediction

0 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

ESTAC Troyes vs Paris FC (Ligue 1), 23/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave ESTAC Troyes 28%, the draw 29% and Paris FC 43%; the actual result had a 29% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

ESTAC Troyes

28%

Draw

29%

Paris FC

43%

Actual result: ESTAC Troyes 0 – 0 Paris FC · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 29%

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours ESTAC Troyes, negative favours Paris FC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (ESTAC Troyes - Paris FC)-0.34

Expected total goals2.69

Expected goals ESTAC Troyes / Paris FC1.18 / 1.51

Market-standard price (decimal)

ESTAC Troyes win3.59

Draw3.47

Paris FC win2.30

Over 2.51.99

Under 2.52.01

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals50.4%

Over 3.5 goals28.4%

Over 1.5 goals76.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from ESTAC Troyes's side

ESTAC Troyes +0.2549.4%

ESTAC Troyes +0.556.6%

ESTAC Troyes draw no bet (0.0)42.2%

ESTAC Troyes +0.7561.8%

ESTAC Troyes −0.2535.0%

ESTAC Troyes +1.067.1%

ESTAC Troyes −0.527.8%

ESTAC Troyes −0.7523.9%

ESTAC Troyes +1.577.5%

ESTAC Troyes −1.019.9%

ESTAC Troyes −1.2515.9%

ESTAC Troyes +2.084.3%

ESTAC Troyes −1.512.0%

ESTAC Troyes −1.759.9%

ESTAC Troyes −2.07.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

ESTAC Troyes wins by more than 1 goals12%

Paris FC wins by more than 1 goals22%

Both teams to score (yes / no)55.6% / 44.4%

First half

First-half result (ESTAC Troyes / draw / Paris FC)22.9% / 44.5% / 32.6%

A goal in the first half68.7%

Two or more in the first half35.6%

Half-time then full-time

Paris FC lead at half-time then Paris FC win26.4%

Level at half-time then draw17.9%

ESTAC Troyes lead at half-time then ESTAC Troyes win16.2%

Corners

Expected total corners9.3

6.5+ corners in the match45%

Cards

Expected total cards2.7

2.5+ cards in the match50%

Next fixtures of both teams

ESTAC Troyes

vs Toulouse (away)Sat 24/10, 22:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs Le MansSun 01/11, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Paris FC

vs Stade RennaisSun 18/10, 22:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 45% / 29% / 27%
vs Lens (away)Sun 25/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 23/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	+5	14
2	Lille	7	+5	14
3	AS Monaco	6	+5	14
...
5	Lyon	6	+7	11
6	Paris FC	6	+4	11
7	Lens	7	+3	10
...
16	AJ Auxerre	6	-8	6
17	Troyes	7	-11	4
18	Le Havre AC	6	-4	2

See the full Ligue 1 table