Spanish La Liga

Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction

0 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Valencia vs Celta Vigo (La Liga), 23/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Valencia 38%, the draw 33% and Celta Vigo 29%; the actual result had a 33% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-0. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 2.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Valencia

38%

Draw

33%

Celta Vigo

29%

Actual result: Valencia 0 – 0 Celta Vigo · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 33%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Valencia, negative favours Celta Vigo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Valencia - Celta Vigo)+0.17

Expected total goals2.15

Expected goals Valencia / Celta Vigo1.16 / 0.99

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.9% / 55.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 65.0%

Over 2.5 goals 36.4%

Over 3.5 goals 17.1%

First half

First-half result (Valencia / draw / Celta Vigo)27.8% / 49.7% / 22.5%

A goal in the first half60.8%

Two or more in the first half26.4%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw22.4%

Valencia lead at half-time then Valencia win22.3%

Celta Vigo lead at half-time then Celta Vigo win16.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Valencia's side

Valencia −2.011.1%

Valencia −1.7514.0%

Valencia −1.516.8%

Valencia −1.2522.1%

Valencia −1.027.4%

Valencia −0.7532.7%

Valencia −0.538.0%

Valencia −0.2546.2%

Valencia draw no bet (0.0)54.4%

Valencia +0.2562.7%

Valencia +0.570.9%

Valencia +0.7575.3%

Valencia +1.079.8%

Valencia +1.588.6%

Valencia +2.092.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Valencia win2.63

Draw3.04

Celta Vigo win3.44

Over 2.52.75

Under 2.51.57

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Valencia wins by more than 1 goals17%

Celta Vigo wins by more than 1 goals11%

Corners

Expected total corners9.2

6.5+ corners in the match44%

Cards

Expected total cards4.2

2.5+ cards in the match42%