UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Anderlecht vs Hammarby prediction

3 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Anderlecht vs Hammarby (Europa League), 31/07/2026, finished 3-1: Anderlecht won. Before the match Jarvis gave Anderlecht 37%, the draw 30% and Hammarby 33%; the actual result had a 37% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Next for Anderlecht: Jagiellonia Bialystok (Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Anderlecht

37%

Draw

30%

Hammarby

33%

Actual result: Anderlecht 3 – 1 Hammarby · Anderlecht winJarvis gave this outcome: 37% ✓

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Anderlecht, negative favours Hammarby) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Anderlecht - Hammarby)+0.09

Expected total goals2.49

Expected goals Anderlecht / Hammarby1.29 / 1.20

Market-standard price (decimal)

Anderlecht win2.68

Draw3.36

Hammarby win3.03

Over 2.52.20

Under 2.51.83

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals45.4%

Over 1.5 goals72.5%

Over 3.5 goals24.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Anderlecht's side

Anderlecht draw no bet (0.0)52.2%

Anderlecht −0.2544.7%

Anderlecht +0.2559.6%

Anderlecht −0.537.3%

Anderlecht +0.567.0%

Anderlecht −0.7532.3%

Anderlecht +0.7571.7%

Anderlecht −1.027.3%

Anderlecht +1.076.3%

Anderlecht −1.2522.3%

Anderlecht −1.517.2%

Anderlecht −1.7514.4%

Anderlecht +1.585.6%

Anderlecht −2.011.6%

Anderlecht +2.090.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Anderlecht wins by more than 1 goals17%

Hammarby wins by more than 1 goals14%

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.1% / 47.9%

First half

First-half result (Anderlecht / draw / Hammarby)28.4% / 45.8% / 25.8%

A goal in the first half66.3%

Two or more in the first half32.0%

Half-time then full-time

Anderlecht lead at half-time then Anderlecht win22.1%

Hammarby lead at half-time then Hammarby win19.3%

Level at half-time then draw18.9%

Next fixtures of both teams

Anderlecht

vs Jagiellonia Bialystok (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs RB SalzburgFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 31/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	+5	6
...
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	-5	1
28	Anderlecht	2	-2	0
29	Celta Vigo	2	-2	0

See the full Europa League table