UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

PAOK vs Dynamo Kiev prediction

2 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

PAOK vs Dynamo Kiev (Europa League), 31/07/2026, finished 2-0: PAOK won. Before the match Jarvis gave PAOK 53%, the draw 25% and Dynamo Kiev 22%; the actual result had a 53% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
PAOK
53%
Draw
25%
Dynamo Kiev
22%
Actual result: PAOK 2 – 0 Dynamo Kiev · PAOK winJarvis gave this outcome: 53% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours PAOK, negative favours Dynamo Kiev) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (PAOK - Dynamo Kiev)+0.73
Expected total goals2.89
Expected goals PAOK / Dynamo Kiev1.81 / 1.08
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.2% / 43.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.3%
Over 2.5 goals 55.2%
Over 3.5 goals 32.8%
First half
First-half result (PAOK / draw / Dynamo Kiev)39.5% / 41.1% / 19.4%
A goal in the first half71.8%
Two or more in the first half38.3%
Half-time then full-time
PAOK lead at half-time then PAOK win33.6%
Level at half-time then PAOK win17.7%
Level at half-time then draw15.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from PAOK's side
PAOK −2.022.4%
PAOK −1.7526.5%
PAOK −1.530.7%
PAOK −1.2536.4%
PAOK −1.042.0%
PAOK −0.7547.7%
PAOK −0.553.4%
PAOK −0.2559.6%
PAOK draw no bet (0.0)65.9%
PAOK +0.2572.1%
PAOK +0.578.4%
PAOK +0.7581.7%
PAOK +1.085.0%
PAOK +1.591.6%
PAOK +2.094.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
PAOK win1.87
Draw4.00
Dynamo Kiev win4.63
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.52.23

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
PAOK wins by more than 1 goals31%
Dynamo Kiev wins by more than 1 goals8%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 31/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.