UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Hradec Kralove vs Tromso prediction

3 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Hradec Kralove vs Tromso (Europa League), 31/07/2026, finished 3-1: Hradec Kralove won. Before the match Jarvis gave Hradec Kralove 28%, the draw 27% and Tromso 45%; the actual result had a 28% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Hradec Kralove

28%

Draw

27%

Tromso

45%

Actual result: Hradec Kralove 3 – 1 Tromso · Hradec Kralove winJarvis gave this outcome: 28%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hradec Kralove, negative favours Tromso) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Hradec Kralove - Tromso)-0.35

Expected total goals2.54

Expected goals Hradec Kralove / Tromso1.10 / 1.45

Both teams to score (yes / no)51.3% / 48.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 72.5%

Over 2.5 goals 46.8%

Over 3.5 goals 25.2%

First half

First-half result (Hradec Kralove / draw / Tromso)23.2% / 43.5% / 33.4%

A goal in the first half67.9%

Two or more in the first half32.0%

Half-time then full-time

Tromso lead at half-time then Tromso win26.9%

Level at half-time then draw16.8%

Hradec Kralove lead at half-time then Hradec Kralove win16.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Hradec Kralove's side

Hradec Kralove −2.07.2%

Hradec Kralove −1.759.2%

Hradec Kralove −1.511.1%

Hradec Kralove −1.2515.4%

Hradec Kralove −1.019.7%

Hradec Kralove −0.7524.0%

Hradec Kralove −0.528.3%

Hradec Kralove −0.2535.0%

Hradec Kralove draw no bet (0.0)41.7%

Hradec Kralove +0.2548.4%

Hradec Kralove +0.555.2%

Hradec Kralove +0.7560.9%

Hradec Kralove +1.066.6%

Hradec Kralove +1.578.0%

Hradec Kralove +2.084.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Hradec Kralove win3.54

Draw3.72

Tromso win2.23

Over 2.52.14

Under 2.51.88

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Hradec Kralove wins by more than 1 goals11%

Tromso wins by more than 1 goals22%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 31/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.