UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Benfica vs St Gallen prediction

5 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Benfica vs St Gallen (Europa League), 31/07/2026, finished 5-0: Benfica won. Before the match Jarvis gave Benfica 85%, the draw 10% and St Gallen 5%; the actual result had a 85% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.7.

Next for Benfica: Omonia Nicosia (Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Benfica

85%

Draw

10%

St Gallen

Actual result: Benfica 5 – 0 St Gallen · Benfica winJarvis gave this outcome: 85% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Benfica, negative favours St Gallen) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Benfica - St Gallen)+2.41

Expected total goals3.73

Expected goals Benfica / St Gallen3.07 / 0.66

Both teams to score (yes / no)45.8% / 54.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 88.3%

Over 2.5 goals 71.9%

Over 3.5 goals 51.1%

First half

First-half result (Benfica / draw / St Gallen)65.4% / 26.3% / 8.2%

A goal in the first half81.7%

Two or more in the first half49.5%

Half-time then full-time

Benfica lead at half-time then Benfica win62.7%

Level at half-time then Benfica win18.7%

Level at half-time then draw5.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Benfica's side

Benfica −2.056.1%

Benfica −1.7561.4%

Benfica −1.566.7%

Benfica −1.2571.3%

Benfica −1.075.8%

Benfica −0.7580.3%

Benfica −0.584.9%

Benfica −0.2587.3%

Benfica draw no bet (0.0)89.8%

Benfica +0.2592.2%

Benfica +0.594.7%

Benfica +0.7595.7%

Benfica +1.096.7%

Benfica +1.598.8%

Benfica +2.099.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Benfica win1.18

Draw10.17

St Gallen win18.84

Over 2.51.39

Under 2.53.56

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Benfica wins by more than 1 goals67%

St Gallen wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Benfica

vs Omonia Nicosia (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Lech PoznanFri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 31/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	+5	6
4	Besiktas	2	+4	6

See the full Europa League table