UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Midtjylland vs Besiktas prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Midtjylland vs Besiktas (Europa League), 31/07/2026, finished 0-2: Besiktas won. Before the match Jarvis gave Midtjylland 49%, the draw 26% and Besiktas 26%; the actual result had a 26% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Next for Besiktas: Crystal Palace (Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Midtjylland

49%

Draw

26%

Besiktas

26%

Actual result: Midtjylland 0 – 2 Besiktas · Besiktas winJarvis gave this outcome: 26%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Midtjylland, negative favours Besiktas) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Midtjylland - Besiktas)+0.52

Expected total goals3.01

Expected goals Midtjylland / Besiktas1.77 / 1.24

Both teams to score (yes / no)60.1% / 39.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 81.3%

Over 2.5 goals 57.9%

Over 3.5 goals 35.5%

First half

First-half result (Midtjylland / draw / Besiktas)36.6% / 41.0% / 22.3%

A goal in the first half73.0%

Two or more in the first half40.4%

Half-time then full-time

Midtjylland lead at half-time then Midtjylland win30.2%

Level at half-time then Midtjylland win16.3%

Level at half-time then draw15.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Midtjylland's side

Midtjylland −2.019.6%

Midtjylland −1.7523.4%

Midtjylland −1.527.2%

Midtjylland −1.2532.5%

Midtjylland −1.037.8%

Midtjylland −0.7543.2%

Midtjylland −0.548.5%

Midtjylland −0.2554.9%

Midtjylland draw no bet (0.0)61.3%

Midtjylland +0.2567.8%

Midtjylland +0.574.2%

Midtjylland +0.7577.9%

Midtjylland +1.081.5%

Midtjylland +1.588.9%

Midtjylland +2.092.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Midtjylland win2.06

Draw3.90

Besiktas win3.87

Over 2.51.73

Under 2.52.37

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Midtjylland wins by more than 1 goals27%

Besiktas wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Besiktas

vs Crystal PalaceFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Celtic (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 31/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	+5	6
4	Besiktas	2	+4	6
5	AFC Bournemouth	2	+4	6

See the full Europa League table