Match summary
Atletico Madrid vs Getafe (Elite Friendlies), 30/07/2026, finished 4-1: Atletico Madrid won. Before the match Jarvis gave Atletico Madrid 58%, the draw 22% and Getafe 20%; the actual result had a 58% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.
Outcome probability


Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs VfB Stuttgart (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
- vs DeportivoSun 25/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Rayo VallecanoTue 20/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Athletic Club (away)Sun 25/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
Other matches on 30/07 (GMT+7)
- Lech Poznan vs AGF00:00 · Champions League1–4
- Universitatea Craiova vs PFC Levski Sofia00:30 · Champions League2–2
- Crvena Zvezda vs Larne01:00 · Champions League5–0
- Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce01:00 · Champions League1–1
- Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 199901:15 · Champions League1–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.















