Spanish La Liga

Betis vs Real Sociedad prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Betis vs Real Sociedad (La Liga), 22/08/2026, finished 1-0: Betis won. Before the match Jarvis gave Betis 46%, the draw 28% and Real Sociedad 25%; the actual result had a 46% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Betis

46%

Draw

28%

Real Sociedad

25%

Actual result: Betis 1 – 0 Real Sociedad · Betis winJarvis gave this outcome: 46% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Betis, negative favours Real Sociedad) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Betis - Real Sociedad)+0.45

Expected total goals2.69

Expected goals Betis / Real Sociedad1.57 / 1.12

Both teams to score (yes / no)55.1% / 44.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 76.7%

Over 2.5 goals 50.5%

Over 3.5 goals 28.5%

First half

First-half result (Betis / draw / Real Sociedad)34.2% / 44.3% / 21.4%

A goal in the first half68.8%

Two or more in the first half35.7%

Half-time then full-time

Betis lead at half-time then Betis win28.3%

Level at half-time then draw17.7%

Level at half-time then Betis win16.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Betis's side

Betis −2.017.3%

Betis −1.7520.9%

Betis −1.524.5%

Betis −1.2529.9%

Betis −1.035.3%

Betis −0.7540.7%

Betis −0.546.1%

Betis −0.2553.2%

Betis draw no bet (0.0)60.3%

Betis +0.2567.4%

Betis +0.574.5%

Betis +0.7578.2%

Betis +1.081.9%

Betis +1.589.4%

Betis +2.093.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Betis win2.17

Draw3.52

Real Sociedad win3.92

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.52.02

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Betis wins by more than 1 goals25%

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1 goals11%

Corners

Expected total corners9.5

6.5+ corners in the match48%

Cards

Expected total cards3.0

2.5+ cards in the match59%