English Premier League

Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction

2 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Everton vs Crystal Palace (Premier League), 22/08/2026, finished 2-0: Everton won. Before the match Jarvis gave Everton 43%, the draw 29% and Crystal Palace 28%; the actual result had a 43% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Everton

43%

Draw

29%

Crystal Palace

28%

Actual result: Everton 2 – 0 Crystal Palace · Everton winJarvis gave this outcome: 43% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Everton, negative favours Crystal Palace) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Everton - Crystal Palace)+0.30

Expected total goals2.55

Expected goals Everton / Crystal Palace1.43 / 1.13

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.7% / 47.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 73.7%

Over 2.5 goals 47.0%

Over 3.5 goals 25.4%

First half

First-half result (Everton / draw / Crystal Palace)31.8% / 45.1% / 23.1%

A goal in the first half67.2%

Two or more in the first half33.0%

Half-time then full-time

Everton lead at half-time then Everton win25.7%

Level at half-time then draw18.3%

Crystal Palace lead at half-time then Crystal Palace win16.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Everton's side

Everton −2.014.6%

Everton −1.7517.9%

Everton −1.521.2%

Everton −1.2526.5%

Everton −1.031.9%

Everton −0.7537.3%

Everton −0.542.6%

Everton −0.2549.9%

Everton draw no bet (0.0)57.1%

Everton +0.2564.4%

Everton +0.571.6%

Everton +0.7575.8%

Everton +1.079.9%

Everton +1.588.2%

Everton +2.092.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Everton win2.35

Draw3.45

Crystal Palace win3.52

Over 2.52.13

Under 2.51.89

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Everton wins by more than 1 goals21%

Crystal Palace wins by more than 1 goals12%

Corners

Expected total corners9.9

6.5+ corners in the match53%

Cards

Expected total cards3.4

2.5+ cards in the match43%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Everton

vs Arsenal (away)Sat 24/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
vs Newcastle United (away)Tue 03/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Crystal Palace

vs Brighton & Hove Albion (away)Sun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 15% / 21% / 63%
vs Besiktas (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 22/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	6	+11	18
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
...
5	Brentford	6	+6	10
6	Everton	7	+1	10
7	Leeds United	6	+3	9
...
11	Newcastle United	6	-3	8
12	Crystal Palace	6	-3	7
13	Manchester United	6	0	6

See the full Premier League table