Italian Serie A

Inter vs AC Monza prediction

4 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Inter vs AC Monza (Serie A), 22/08/2026, finished 4-1: Inter won. Before the match Jarvis gave Inter 81%, the draw 13% and AC Monza 6%; the actual result had a 81% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Inter
81%
Draw
13%
AC Monza
6%
Actual result: Inter 4 – 1 AC Monza · Inter winJarvis gave this outcome: 81% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Inter, negative favours AC Monza) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Inter - AC Monza)+2.05
Expected total goals3.17
Expected goals Inter / AC Monza2.61 / 0.56
Both teams to score (yes / no)39.7% / 60.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.4%
Over 2.5 goals 61.4%
Over 3.5 goals 39.1%
First half
First-half result (Inter / draw / AC Monza)60.6% / 31.3% / 8.1%
A goal in the first half76.2%
Two or more in the first half41.6%
Half-time then full-time
Inter lead at half-time then Inter win57.8%
Level at half-time then Inter win20.8%
Level at half-time then draw8.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Inter's side
Inter −2.048.7%
Inter −1.7554.4%
Inter −1.560.0%
Inter −1.2565.4%
Inter −1.070.7%
Inter −0.7576.0%
Inter −0.581.4%
Inter −0.2584.5%
Inter draw no bet (0.0)87.7%
Inter +0.2590.9%
Inter +0.594.0%
Inter +0.7595.2%
Inter +1.096.4%
Inter +1.598.7%
Inter +2.099.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Inter win1.23
Draw7.89
AC Monza win16.77
Over 2.51.63
Under 2.52.59

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Inter wins by more than 1 goals60%
AC Monza wins by more than 1 goals1%
Corners
Expected total corners10.0
6.5+ corners in the match54%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Shakhtar DonetskThu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs FiorentinaSun 25/10, 18:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs CagliariMon 19/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs Torino (away)Sat 24/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 22/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Internazionale7+1219
2AS Roma7+1317
3Lazio6+716
...
15Udinese6-44
16Monza6-64
17Parma6-64

See the full Serie A table