English Premier League

Hull vs Man Utd prediction

2 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Hull vs Man Utd (Premier League), 22/08/2026, finished 2-0: Hull won. Before the match Jarvis gave Hull 9%, the draw 18% and Man Utd 72%; the actual result had a 9% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Hull

Draw

18%

Man Utd

72%

Actual result: Hull 2 – 0 Man Utd · Hull winJarvis gave this outcome: 9%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hull, negative favours Man Utd) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Hull - Man Utd)-1.57

Expected total goals3.00

Expected goals Hull / Man Utd0.72 / 2.28

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.5% / 53.5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 80.7%

Over 2.5 goals 57.6%

Over 3.5 goals 35.2%

First half

First-half result (Hull / draw / Man Utd)10.8% / 36.6% / 52.6%

A goal in the first half73.4%

Two or more in the first half39.7%

Half-time then full-time

Man Utd lead at half-time then Man Utd win48.9%

Level at half-time then Man Utd win21.1%

Level at half-time then draw11.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Hull's side

Hull −2.01.6%

Hull −1.752.1%

Hull −1.52.7%

Hull −1.254.4%

Hull −1.06.1%

Hull −0.757.8%

Hull −0.59.5%

Hull −0.2514.1%

Hull draw no bet (0.0)18.7%

Hull +0.2523.2%

Hull +0.527.8%

Hull +0.7533.6%

Hull +1.039.3%

Hull +1.550.8%

Hull +2.061.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Hull win10.57

Draw5.44

Man Utd win1.39

Over 2.51.73

Under 2.52.36

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Hull wins by more than 1 goals3%

Man Utd wins by more than 1 goals49%

Corners

Expected total corners10.1

6.5+ corners in the match55%

Cards

Expected total cards3.9

2.5+ cards in the match55%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Hull

vs BrentfordSun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
vs Ipswich TownSat 31/10, 22:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Man Utd

vs Leeds United (away)Sun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 32% / 28% / 40%
vs Como (away)Wed 21/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 22/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	+12	21
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
...
8	Leeds United	6	+3	9
9	Hull City	7	+1	9
10	Ipswich Town	7	-4	9
...
13	Crystal Palace	6	-3	7
14	Manchester United	6	0	6
15	Coventry City	6	-6	6

See the full Premier League table