English Premier League

Arsenal vs Coventry prediction

3 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Arsenal vs Coventry (Premier League), 22/08/2026, finished 3-0: Arsenal won. Before the match Jarvis gave Arsenal 80%, the draw 13% and Coventry 6%; the actual result had a 80% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Arsenal

80%

Draw

13%

Coventry

Actual result: Arsenal 3 – 0 Coventry · Arsenal winJarvis gave this outcome: 80% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Arsenal, negative favours Coventry) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Arsenal - Coventry)+1.97

Expected total goals3.08

Expected goals Arsenal / Coventry2.52 / 0.55

Both teams to score (yes / no)38.9% / 61.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 80.9%

Over 2.5 goals 59.4%

Over 3.5 goals 37.0%

First half

First-half result (Arsenal / draw / Coventry)59.5% / 32.1% / 8.4%

A goal in the first half75.3%

Two or more in the first half40.0%

Half-time then full-time

Arsenal lead at half-time then Arsenal win56.6%

Level at half-time then Arsenal win20.9%

Level at half-time then draw8.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Arsenal's side

Arsenal −2.046.9%

Arsenal −1.7552.6%

Arsenal −1.558.3%

Arsenal −1.2563.8%

Arsenal −1.069.4%

Arsenal −0.7574.9%

Arsenal −0.580.5%

Arsenal −0.2583.7%

Arsenal draw no bet (0.0)87.0%

Arsenal +0.2590.3%

Arsenal +0.593.6%

Arsenal +0.7594.9%

Arsenal +1.096.1%

Arsenal +1.598.7%

Arsenal +2.099.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Arsenal win1.24

Draw7.60

Coventry win15.64

Over 2.51.68

Under 2.52.46

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Arsenal wins by more than 1 goals58%

Coventry wins by more than 1 goals1%

Corners

Expected total corners10.2

6.5+ corners in the match44%

Cards

Expected total cards2.9

2.5+ cards in the match54%