English Premier League

Ipswich vs Sunderland prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Ipswich vs Sunderland (Premier League), 22/08/2026, finished 2-1: Ipswich won. Before the match Jarvis gave Ipswich 33%, the draw 31% and Sunderland 36%; the actual result had a 33% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Ipswich

33%

Draw

31%

Sunderland

36%

Actual result: Ipswich 2 – 1 Sunderland · Ipswich winJarvis gave this outcome: 33%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ipswich, negative favours Sunderland) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Ipswich - Sunderland)-0.05

Expected total goals2.33

Expected goals Ipswich / Sunderland1.14 / 1.19

Both teams to score (yes / no)48.7% / 51.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 69.0%

Over 2.5 goals 41.2%

Over 3.5 goals 20.7%

First half

First-half result (Ipswich / draw / Sunderland)25.5% / 47.3% / 27.1%

A goal in the first half64.0%

Two or more in the first half29.2%

Half-time then full-time

Sunderland lead at half-time then Sunderland win21.0%

Level at half-time then draw20.2%

Ipswich lead at half-time then Ipswich win19.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Ipswich's side

Ipswich −2.09.3%

Ipswich −1.7511.7%

Ipswich −1.514.1%

Ipswich −1.2518.9%

Ipswich −1.023.7%

Ipswich −0.7528.5%

Ipswich −0.533.3%

Ipswich −0.2541.0%

Ipswich draw no bet (0.0)48.7%

Ipswich +0.2556.4%

Ipswich +0.564.1%

Ipswich +0.7569.1%

Ipswich +1.074.2%

Ipswich +1.584.2%

Ipswich +2.089.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Ipswich win3.01

Draw3.24

Sunderland win2.79

Over 2.52.42

Under 2.51.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Ipswich wins by more than 1 goals14%

Sunderland wins by more than 1 goals16%

Corners

Expected total corners9.7

6.5+ corners in the match50%

Cards

Expected total cards3.3

2.5+ cards in the match42%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Ipswich

vs Manchester City (away)Sat 17/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 9% / 13% / 78%
vs Nottingham ForestSat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Sunderland

vs AFC Bournemouth (away)Sun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 26% / 30% / 44%
vs Lech Poznan (away)Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 22/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	6	+11	18
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
...
9	Liverpool	6	0	9
10	Ipswich Town	6	-3	9
11	Newcastle United	6	-3	8
...
16	Aston Villa	6	-5	5
17	Sunderland	6	-6	4
18	AFC Bournemouth	6	-6	3

See the full Premier League table