UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Braga vs Dinamo Minsk prediction

1 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Braga vs Dinamo Minsk (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 07/08/2026, finished 1-0: Braga won. Before the match Jarvis gave Braga 86%, the draw 10% and Dinamo Minsk 4%; the actual result had a 86% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Braga
86%
Draw
10%
Dinamo Minsk
4%
Actual result: Braga 1 – 0 Dinamo Minsk · Braga winJarvis gave this outcome: 86% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Braga, negative favours Dinamo Minsk) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Braga - Dinamo Minsk)+2.25
Expected total goals3.02
Expected goals Braga / Dinamo Minsk2.64 / 0.39
Both teams to score (yes / no)29.3% / 70.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.9%
Over 2.5 goals 58.2%
Over 3.5 goals 35.8%
First half
First-half result (Braga / draw / Dinamo Minsk)63.9% / 30.1% / 5.9%
A goal in the first half74.9%
Two or more in the first half38.9%
Half-time then full-time
Braga lead at half-time then Braga win61.8%
Level at half-time then Braga win21.1%
Level at half-time then draw7.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Braga's side
Braga −2.052.9%
Braga −1.7558.7%
Braga −1.564.6%
Braga −1.2569.8%
Braga −1.075.1%
Braga −0.7580.4%
Braga −0.585.7%
Braga −0.2588.2%
Braga draw no bet (0.0)90.8%
Braga +0.2593.3%
Braga +0.595.9%
Braga +0.7596.8%
Braga +1.097.7%
Braga +1.599.4%
Braga +2.099.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Braga win1.17
Draw9.79
Dinamo Minsk win24.32
Over 2.51.72
Under 2.52.39

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Braga wins by more than 1 goals65%
Dinamo Minsk wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.