English Premier League

Brentford vs Tottenham prediction

3 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Brentford vs Tottenham (Premier League), 22/08/2026, finished 3-0: Brentford won. Before the match Jarvis gave Brentford 45%, the draw 27% and Tottenham 28%; the actual result had a 45% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7. Last 10 meetings: Brentford won 2, 4 drawn, Tottenham won 4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Brentford

45%

Draw

27%

Tottenham

28%

Actual result: Brentford 3 – 0 Tottenham · Brentford winJarvis gave this outcome: 45% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brentford, negative favours Tottenham) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Brentford - Tottenham)+0.37

Expected total goals2.72

Expected goals Brentford / Tottenham1.54 / 1.17

Both teams to score (yes / no)55.2% / 44.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 76.4%

Over 2.5 goals 51.1%

Over 3.5 goals 29.0%

First half

First-half result (Brentford / draw / Tottenham)33.8% / 42.9% / 23.3%

A goal in the first half69.7%

Two or more in the first half35.4%

Half-time then full-time

Brentford lead at half-time then Brentford win27.3%

Level at half-time then draw16.5%

Tottenham lead at half-time then Tottenham win16.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Brentford's side

Brentford −2.016.2%

Brentford −1.7519.7%

Brentford −1.523.2%

Brentford −1.2528.6%

Brentford −1.034.0%

Brentford −0.7539.5%

Brentford −0.544.9%

Brentford −0.2551.7%

Brentford draw no bet (0.0)58.4%

Brentford +0.2565.2%

Brentford +0.572.0%

Brentford +0.7576.1%

Brentford +1.080.1%

Brentford +1.588.3%

Brentford +2.092.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Brentford win2.23

Draw3.70

Tottenham win3.57

Over 2.51.96

Under 2.52.04

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Brentford wins by more than 1 goals23%

Tottenham wins by more than 1 goals12%

Corners

Expected total corners10.4

6.5+ corners in the match47%

Cards

Expected total cards3.8

2.5+ cards in the match53%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Brentford

vs LiverpoolSat 17/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 38% / 28% / 33%
vs Hull City (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Tottenham

vs Coventry CityTue 20/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 65% / 21% / 14%
vs Chelsea (away)Sat 24/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 22/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	6	+11	18
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
4	Brentford	6	+6	10
5	Everton	6	+3	10
...
18	AFC Bournemouth	6	-6	3
19	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3
20	Fulham	6	-4	2

See the full Premier League table