Italian Serie A

Udinese vs Como prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Udinese vs Como (Serie A), 22/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Udinese 20%, the draw 28% and Como 52%; the actual result had a 28% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Udinese

20%

Draw

28%

Como

52%

Actual result: Udinese 1 – 1 Como · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 28%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Udinese, negative favours Como) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Udinese - Como)-0.67

Expected total goals2.32

Expected goals Udinese / Como0.83 / 1.50

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.7% / 55.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 68.6%

Over 2.5 goals 41.1%

Over 3.5 goals 20.6%

First half

First-half result (Udinese / draw / Como)16.9% / 46.1% / 37.0%

A goal in the first half64.1%

Two or more in the first half28.9%

Half-time then full-time

Como lead at half-time then Como win32.0%

Level at half-time then draw19.0%

Level at half-time then Como win18.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Udinese's side

Udinese −2.04.0%

Udinese −1.755.2%

Udinese −1.56.5%

Udinese −1.259.7%

Udinese −1.013.0%

Udinese −0.7516.3%

Udinese −0.519.6%

Udinese −0.2526.7%

Udinese draw no bet (0.0)33.8%

Udinese +0.2540.9%

Udinese +0.548.0%

Udinese +0.7554.1%

Udinese +1.060.3%

Udinese +1.572.7%

Udinese +2.080.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Udinese win5.11

Draw3.53

Como win1.92

Over 2.52.44

Under 2.51.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Udinese wins by more than 1 goals6%

Como wins by more than 1 goals27%

Corners

Expected total corners8.8

6.5+ corners in the match52%

Cards

Expected total cards2.7

2.5+ cards in the match50%