Spanish Segunda Division

Cadiz vs Valladolid prediction

Cadiz

1 – 1

Full-time

Valladolid

Match summary

Cadiz vs Valladolid (Spanish Segunda Division), 31/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Cadiz

34%

Draw

35%

Valladolid

32%

Actual result: Cadiz 1 – 1 Valladolid · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 35% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Cadiz, negative favours Valladolid) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Cadiz - Valladolid)+0.05

Expected total goals2.19

Expected goals Cadiz / Valladolid1.12 / 1.07

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.9% / 53.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 66.9%

Over 2.5 goals 37.4%

Over 3.5 goals 17.8%

First half

First-half result (Cadiz / draw / Valladolid)25.4% / 50.6% / 24.0%

A goal in the first half60.8%

Two or more in the first half27.7%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw23.4%

Cadiz lead at half-time then Cadiz win20.0%

Valladolid lead at half-time then Valladolid win18.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Cadiz's side

Cadiz −2.09.8%

Cadiz −1.7512.3%

Cadiz −1.514.9%

Cadiz −1.2519.6%

Cadiz −1.024.4%

Cadiz −0.7529.1%

Cadiz −0.533.9%

Cadiz −0.2542.5%

Cadiz draw no bet (0.0)51.2%

Cadiz +0.2559.8%

Cadiz +0.568.5%

Cadiz +0.7573.0%

Cadiz +1.077.5%

Cadiz +1.586.6%

Cadiz +2.091.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Cadiz win2.95

Draw2.89

Valladolid win3.17

Over 2.52.67

Under 2.51.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Cadiz wins by more than 1 goals15%

Valladolid wins by more than 1 goals13%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 31/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.