FIFA World Cup
Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia prediction
Cape Verde
0 – 0
Full-time
Saudi Arabia
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Cape Verde
37%
Draw
28%
Saudi Arabia
34%
Actual result: Cape Verde 0 – 0 Saudi Arabia · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 28%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Cape Verde, negative favours Saudi Arabia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia)+0.06
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Cape Verde / Saudi Arabia1.28 / 1.22
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.6% / 48.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 71.9%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Cape Verde / draw / Saudi Arabia)28.6% / 44.7% / 26.8%
A goal in the first half67.0%
Two or more in the first half31.6%
Half-time then full-time
Cape Verde ahead then Cape Verde win21.9%
Saudi Arabia ahead then Saudi Arabia win20.0%
level then draw17.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Cape Verde
Cape Verde give 2 trái (−2.0)11.3%
Cape Verde give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)14.1%
Cape Verde give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)16.8%
Cape Verde give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)21.9%
Cape Verde give 1 trái (−1.0)27.0%
Cape Verde give 3/4 trái (−0.75)32.2%
Cape Verde give nửa trái (−0.5)37.3%
Cape Verde give 1/4 trái (−0.25)44.4%
Level ball (0.0)51.4%
Cape Verde receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)58.5%
Cape Verde receive nửa trái (+0.5)65.6%
Cape Verde receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)70.5%
Cape Verde receive 1 trái (+1.0)75.4%
Cape Verde receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)85.1%
Cape Verde receive 2 trái (+2.0)90.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Cape Verde win2.68
Draw3.53
Saudi Arabia win2.91
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
1–1
13.5%
1–0
9.8%
0–1
9.3%
0–0
8.9%
2–1
8.2%
1–2
7.8%
Goal margin
Cape Verde wins by more than 1 goals17%
Saudi Arabia wins by more than 1 goals15%