Italian Serie B

Carrarese vs Mantova prediction

Carrarese

1 – 2

Full-time

Mantova

Match summary

Carrarese vs Mantova (Italian Serie B), 23/08/2026, finished 1-2: Mantova won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Carrarese

29%

Draw

33%

Mantova

38%

Actual result: Carrarese 1 – 2 Mantova · Mantova winJarvis gave this outcome: 38% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Carrarese, negative favours Mantova) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Carrarese - Mantova)-0.18

Expected total goals2.33

Expected goals Carrarese / Mantova1.07 / 1.26

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.6% / 50.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 70.2%

Over 2.5 goals 41.2%

Over 3.5 goals 20.7%

First half

First-half result (Carrarese / draw / Mantova)22.8% / 49.0% / 28.2%

A goal in the first half63.1%

Two or more in the first half30.1%

Half-time then full-time

Mantova lead at half-time then Mantova win22.7%

Level at half-time then draw21.9%

Carrarese lead at half-time then Carrarese win17.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Carrarese's side

Carrarese −2.08.0%

Carrarese −1.7510.1%

Carrarese −1.512.3%

Carrarese −1.2516.4%

Carrarese −1.020.6%

Carrarese −0.7524.8%

Carrarese −0.529.0%

Carrarese −0.2537.3%

Carrarese draw no bet (0.0)45.5%

Carrarese +0.2553.8%

Carrarese +0.562.1%

Carrarese +0.7567.1%

Carrarese +1.072.1%

Carrarese +1.582.1%

Carrarese +2.088.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Carrarese win3.45

Draw3.03

Mantova win2.64

Over 2.52.43

Under 2.51.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Carrarese wins by more than 1 goals12%

Mantova wins by more than 1 goals18%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 23/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.