UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo vs Juventus prediction

02:00, 16/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Celta Vigo
26%
Draw
31%
Juventus
43%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Celta Vigo, negative favours Juventus) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Celta Vigo - Juventus)-0.33
Expected total goals2.28
Expected goals Celta Vigo / Juventus0.97 / 1.30
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.8% / 53.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 67.8%
Over 2.5 goals 39.8%
Over 3.5 goals 19.6%
First half
First-half result (Celta Vigo / draw / Juventus)21.2% / 47.8% / 31.0%
A goal in the first half63.1%
Two or more in the first half28.4%
Half-time then full-time
Juventus lead at half-time then Juventus win25.4%
Level at half-time then draw20.6%
Level at half-time then Juventus win16.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Celta Vigo's side
Celta Vigo −2.06.4%
Celta Vigo −1.758.2%
Celta Vigo −1.510.0%
Celta Vigo −1.2514.1%
Celta Vigo −1.018.2%
Celta Vigo −0.7522.3%
Celta Vigo −0.526.4%
Celta Vigo −0.2534.2%
Celta Vigo draw no bet (0.0)41.9%
Celta Vigo +0.2549.6%
Celta Vigo +0.557.4%
Celta Vigo +0.7563.0%
Celta Vigo +1.068.6%
Celta Vigo +1.579.8%
Celta Vigo +2.086.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Celta Vigo win3.78
Draw3.23
Juventus win2.35
Over 2.52.51
Under 2.51.66

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Celta Vigo wins by more than 1 goals10%
Juventus wins by more than 1 goals20%

Probability trajectory

Celta Vigo vs Juventus injury report and team news

Celta Vigo
  • P. DuranOut · Calf Injury
  • J. El AbdellaouiOut · Knee Injury
  • B. IglesiasOut · Muscle Injury
  • M. RomanOut · Knee Injury
  • C. StarfeltOut · Injury
Juventus
  • J. BogaOut · Muscle Injury
  • A. DurmisiOut · Red Card
  • J. EkhatorOut · Muscle Injury
  • K. GrabaraOut · Knee Injury
  • M. LocatelliOut · Knee Injury
  • K. ThuramOut · Knee Injury
  • K. YildizOut · Foot Injury

Celta Vigo vs Juventus team form

Celta VigoDWLDD
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Elche (away)0–0
19/09/2026Racing Santander (home)5–0
16/09/2026Omonia Nicosia (away)0–1
13/09/2026Malaga (home)1–1
07/09/2026Getafe (away)1–1
JuventusDLWWL
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Cagliari (away)1–1
02/10/2026Cremonese (home)0–1
20/09/2026Atalanta (home)2–0
17/09/2026NEC Nijmegen (home)5–0
13/09/2026Sassuolo (away)2–3

Match information

Referee
Sander van der Eijk
Venue
Municipal de Balaidos, Vigo
Round
2