North American Leagues Cup

Charlotte FC vs Pachuca prediction

0 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Charlotte FC vs Pachuca (North American Leagues Cup), 12/08/2026, finished 0-1: Pachuca won. Before the match Jarvis gave Charlotte FC 48%, the draw 26% and Pachuca 26%; the actual result had a 26% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Charlotte FC
48%
Draw
26%
Pachuca
26%
Actual result: Charlotte FC 0 – 1 Pachuca · Pachuca winJarvis gave this outcome: 26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Charlotte FC, negative favours Pachuca) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Charlotte FC - Pachuca)+0.51
Expected total goals2.93
Expected goals Charlotte FC / Pachuca1.72 / 1.21
Both teams to score (yes / no)58.8% / 41.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.2%
Over 2.5 goals 56.0%
Over 3.5 goals 33.6%
First half
First-half result (Charlotte FC / draw / Pachuca)36.1% / 41.9% / 22.0%
A goal in the first half71.9%
Two or more in the first half39.2%
Half-time then full-time
Charlotte FC lead at half-time then Charlotte FC win29.8%
Level at half-time then Charlotte FC win16.4%
Level at half-time then draw15.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Charlotte FC's side
Charlotte FC −2.019.1%
Charlotte FC −1.7522.9%
Charlotte FC −1.526.6%
Charlotte FC −1.2532.0%
Charlotte FC −1.037.3%
Charlotte FC −0.7542.7%
Charlotte FC −0.548.1%
Charlotte FC −0.2554.6%
Charlotte FC draw no bet (0.0)61.2%
Charlotte FC +0.2567.8%
Charlotte FC +0.574.4%
Charlotte FC +0.7578.1%
Charlotte FC +1.081.7%
Charlotte FC +1.589.1%
Charlotte FC +2.092.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Charlotte FC win2.08
Draw3.80
Pachuca win3.90
Over 2.51.79
Under 2.52.27

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Charlotte FC wins by more than 1 goals27%
Pachuca wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 12/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.