English Premier League

Coventry vs Hull prediction

0 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Coventry vs Hull (Premier League), 29/08/2026, finished 0-1: Hull won. Before the match Jarvis gave Coventry 54%, the draw 27% and Hull 19%; the actual result had a 19% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Coventry
54%
Draw
27%
Hull
19%
Actual result: Coventry 0 – 1 Hull · Hull winJarvis gave this outcome: 19%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Coventry, negative favours Hull) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Coventry - Hull)+0.76
Expected total goals2.60
Expected goals Coventry / Hull1.68 / 0.92
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.3% / 49.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.6%
Over 2.5 goals 48.1%
Over 3.5 goals 26.3%
First half
First-half result (Coventry / draw / Hull)38.9% / 44.0% / 17.1%
A goal in the first half67.7%
Two or more in the first half33.8%
Half-time then full-time
Coventry lead at half-time then Coventry win33.7%
Level at half-time then Coventry win18.8%
Level at half-time then draw17.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Coventry's side
Coventry −2.021.8%
Coventry −1.7526.1%
Coventry −1.530.3%
Coventry −1.2536.2%
Coventry −1.042.1%
Coventry −0.7547.9%
Coventry −0.553.8%
Coventry −0.2560.6%
Coventry draw no bet (0.0)67.4%
Coventry +0.2574.1%
Coventry +0.580.9%
Coventry +0.7584.0%
Coventry +1.087.0%
Coventry +1.593.1%
Coventry +2.095.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Coventry win1.86
Draw3.69
Hull win5.24
Over 2.52.08
Under 2.51.93

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Coventry wins by more than 1 goals30%
Hull wins by more than 1 goals7%
Corners
Expected total corners9.5
6.5+ corners in the match48%
Cards
Expected total cards3.7
2.5+ cards in the match51%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Other matches on 29/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

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