German Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg prediction
2 – 2
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Eintracht Frankfurt
38%
Draw
26%
Freiburg
36%
Actual result: Eintracht Frankfurt 2 – 2 Freiburg · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Eintracht Frankfurt, negative favours Freiburg) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg)+0.06
Expected total goals3.35
Expected goals Eintracht Frankfurt / Freiburg1.70 / 1.64
Both teams to score (yes / no)67.4% / 32.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.1%
Over 2.5 goals 65.0%
Over 3.5 goals 43.0%
First half
First-half result (Eintracht Frankfurt / draw / Freiburg)30.7% / 40.2% / 29.1%
A goal in the first half76.0%
Two or more in the first half46.2%
Half-time then full-time
Eintracht Frankfurt lead at half-time then Eintracht Frankfurt win23.3%
Freiburg lead at half-time then Freiburg win21.7%
Level at half-time then draw14.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Eintracht Frankfurt's side
Eintracht Frankfurt −2.014.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt −1.7517.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt −1.520.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt −1.2525.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt −1.029.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt −0.7533.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt −0.538.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt −0.2544.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt draw no bet (0.0)51.2%
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.2557.6%
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.564.1%
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.7568.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt +1.072.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt +1.581.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt +2.086.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Eintracht Frankfurt win2.60
Draw3.90
Freiburg win2.78
Over 2.51.54
Under 2.52.86
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Eintracht Frankfurt wins by more than 1 goals20%
Freiburg wins by more than 1 goals19%
Corners
Expected total corners9.6
6.5+ corners in the match49%