Spanish La Liga

Espanyol vs Real Madrid prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Espanyol vs Real Madrid (La Liga), 23/08/2026, finished 1-2: Real Madrid won. Before the match Jarvis gave Espanyol 12%, the draw 20% and Real Madrid 68%; the actual result had a 68% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Espanyol

12%

Draw

20%

Real Madrid

68%

Actual result: Espanyol 1 – 2 Real Madrid · Real Madrid winJarvis gave this outcome: 68% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Espanyol, negative favours Real Madrid) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Espanyol - Real Madrid)-1.35

Expected total goals2.87

Expected goals Espanyol / Real Madrid0.76 / 2.11

Both teams to score (yes / no)47.3% / 52.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 78.6%

Over 2.5 goals 54.7%

Over 3.5 goals 32.4%

First half

First-half result (Espanyol / draw / Real Madrid)12.4% / 38.3% / 49.3%

A goal in the first half71.9%

Two or more in the first half37.6%

Half-time then full-time

Real Madrid lead at half-time then Real Madrid win45.1%

Level at half-time then Real Madrid win20.7%

Level at half-time then draw12.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Espanyol's side

Espanyol −2.02.1%

Espanyol −1.752.8%

Espanyol −1.53.4%

Espanyol −1.255.5%

Espanyol −1.07.6%

Espanyol −0.759.6%

Espanyol −0.511.7%

Espanyol −0.2516.7%

Espanyol draw no bet (0.0)21.8%

Espanyol +0.2526.9%

Espanyol +0.531.9%

Espanyol +0.7537.9%

Espanyol +1.043.9%

Espanyol +1.555.9%

Espanyol +2.066.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Espanyol win8.57

Draw4.93

Real Madrid win1.47

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.52.21

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Espanyol wins by more than 1 goals3%

Real Madrid wins by more than 1 goals44%

Corners

Expected total corners10.0

6.5+ corners in the match54%

Cards

Expected total cards3.5

2.5+ cards in the match47%