UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr prediction

FC Copenhagen

2 – 1

Full-time

Polissya Zhytomyr

Match summary

FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 30/07/2026, finished 2-1: FC Copenhagen won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

57%

Draw

25%

Polissya Zhytomyr

19%

Actual result: FC Copenhagen 2 – 1 Polissya Zhytomyr · FC Copenhagen winJarvis gave this outcome: 57% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Copenhagen, negative favours Polissya Zhytomyr) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (FC Copenhagen - Polissya Zhytomyr)+0.91

Expected total goals3.18

Expected goals FC Copenhagen / Polissya Zhytomyr2.05 / 1.13

Both teams to score (yes / no)60.8% / 39.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.4%

Over 2.5 goals 61.6%

Over 3.5 goals 39.3%

First half

First-half result (FC Copenhagen / draw / Polissya Zhytomyr)41.8% / 40.7% / 17.5%

A goal in the first half74.0%

Two or more in the first half43.9%

Half-time then full-time

FC Copenhagen lead at half-time then FC Copenhagen win36.6%

Level at half-time then FC Copenhagen win18.5%

Level at half-time then draw14.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from FC Copenhagen's side

FC Copenhagen −2.026.5%

FC Copenhagen −1.7531.0%

FC Copenhagen −1.535.4%

FC Copenhagen −1.2540.7%

FC Copenhagen −1.046.0%

FC Copenhagen −0.7551.4%

FC Copenhagen −0.556.7%

FC Copenhagen −0.2562.8%

FC Copenhagen draw no bet (0.0)69.0%

FC Copenhagen +0.2575.1%

FC Copenhagen +0.581.3%

FC Copenhagen +0.7584.0%

FC Copenhagen +1.086.8%

FC Copenhagen +1.592.3%

FC Copenhagen +2.095.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

FC Copenhagen win1.76

Draw4.06

Polissya Zhytomyr win5.34

Over 2.51.62

Under 2.52.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

FC Copenhagen wins by more than 1 goals35%

Polissya Zhytomyr wins by more than 1 goals8%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 30/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.