Turkish Super League

Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor prediction

4 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor (Turkish Super League), 23/08/2026, finished 4-2: Fenerbahce won. Before the match Jarvis gave Fenerbahce 74%, the draw 17% and Konyaspor 9%; the actual result had a 74% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 6 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Next for Fenerbahce: Slavia Prague (Tue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Fenerbahce

74%

Draw

17%

Konyaspor

Actual result: Fenerbahce 4 – 2 Konyaspor · Fenerbahce winJarvis gave this outcome: 74% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Fenerbahce, negative favours Konyaspor) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Fenerbahce - Konyaspor)+1.63

Expected total goals3.08

Expected goals Fenerbahce / Konyaspor2.36 / 0.73

Both teams to score (yes / no)47.0% / 53.0%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 81.6%

Over 2.5 goals 59.5%

Over 3.5 goals 37.2%

First half

First-half result (Fenerbahce / draw / Konyaspor)54.0% / 35.0% / 11.0%

A goal in the first half74.8%

Two or more in the first half40.7%

Half-time then full-time

Fenerbahce lead at half-time then Fenerbahce win50.2%

Level at half-time then Fenerbahce win20.7%

Level at half-time then draw10.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Fenerbahce's side

Fenerbahce −2.039.9%

Fenerbahce −1.7545.3%

Fenerbahce −1.550.7%

Fenerbahce −1.2556.4%

Fenerbahce −1.062.1%

Fenerbahce −0.7567.8%

Fenerbahce −0.573.5%

Fenerbahce −0.2577.8%

Fenerbahce draw no bet (0.0)82.1%

Fenerbahce +0.2586.3%

Fenerbahce +0.590.6%

Fenerbahce +0.7592.3%

Fenerbahce +1.094.0%

Fenerbahce +1.597.4%

Fenerbahce +2.098.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Fenerbahce win1.36

Draw5.88

Konyaspor win10.59

Over 2.51.68

Under 2.52.47

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1 goals51%

Konyaspor wins by more than 1 goals3%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Fenerbahce

vs Slavia PragueTue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs LiverpoolThu 05/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 23/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.