UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

FK Riga vs Gyori prediction

FK Riga

1 – 0

Full-time

Gyori

Match summary

FK Riga vs Gyori (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 07/08/2026, finished 1-0: FK Riga won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

FK Riga

52%

Draw

27%

Gyori

22%

Actual result: FK Riga 1 – 0 Gyori · FK Riga winJarvis gave this outcome: 52% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FK Riga, negative favours Gyori) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (FK Riga - Gyori)+0.68

Expected total goals2.85

Expected goals FK Riga / Gyori1.77 / 1.08

Both teams to score (yes / no)56.4% / 43.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 79.3%

Over 2.5 goals 54.2%

Over 3.5 goals 31.9%

First half

First-half result (FK Riga / draw / Gyori)38.2% / 42.6% / 19.2%

A goal in the first half70.8%

Two or more in the first half38.2%

Half-time then full-time

FK Riga lead at half-time then FK Riga win32.6%

Level at half-time then FK Riga win17.8%

Level at half-time then draw16.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from FK Riga's side

FK Riga −2.021.6%

FK Riga −1.7525.7%

FK Riga −1.529.7%

FK Riga −1.2535.3%

FK Riga −1.040.8%

FK Riga −0.7546.3%

FK Riga −0.551.9%

FK Riga −0.2558.5%

FK Riga draw no bet (0.0)65.1%

FK Riga +0.2571.8%

FK Riga +0.578.4%

FK Riga +0.7581.6%

FK Riga +1.084.9%

FK Riga +1.591.3%

FK Riga +2.094.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

FK Riga win1.93

Draw3.77

Gyori win4.63

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.19

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

FK Riga wins by more than 1 goals30%

Gyori wins by more than 1 goals9%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.