Italian Serie A

Frosinone vs Juventus prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Frosinone vs Juventus (Serie A), 23/08/2026, finished 0-1: Juventus won. Before the match Jarvis gave Frosinone 13%, the draw 21% and Juventus 66%; the actual result had a 66% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Frosinone

13%

Draw

21%

Juventus

66%

Actual result: Frosinone 0 – 1 Juventus · Juventus winJarvis gave this outcome: 66% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Frosinone, negative favours Juventus) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Frosinone - Juventus)-1.26

Expected total goals2.85

Expected goals Frosinone / Juventus0.80 / 2.06

Both teams to score (yes / no)48.6% / 51.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 78.5%

Over 2.5 goals 54.3%

Over 3.5 goals 32.0%

First half

First-half result (Frosinone / draw / Juventus)13.2% / 39.1% / 47.7%

A goal in the first half71.6%

Two or more in the first half37.5%

Half-time then full-time

Juventus lead at half-time then Juventus win43.4%

Level at half-time then Juventus win20.5%

Level at half-time then draw13.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Frosinone's side

Frosinone −2.02.4%

Frosinone −1.753.2%

Frosinone −1.53.9%

Frosinone −1.256.1%

Frosinone −1.08.3%

Frosinone −0.7510.5%

Frosinone −0.512.7%

Frosinone −0.2518.0%

Frosinone draw no bet (0.0)23.4%

Frosinone +0.2528.7%

Frosinone +0.534.0%

Frosinone +0.7540.0%

Frosinone +1.046.0%

Frosinone +1.557.9%

Frosinone +2.068.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Frosinone win7.88

Draw4.69

Juventus win1.52

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.19

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Frosinone wins by more than 1 goals4%

Juventus wins by more than 1 goals42%

Corners

Expected total corners9.7

6.5+ corners in the match51%

Cards

Expected total cards3.0

2.5+ cards in the match57%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Frosinone

vs Atalanta (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
vs LecceFri 30/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Juventus

vs LazioMon 19/10, 01:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
vs Stade RennaisThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 23/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Internazionale	6	+10	16
2	Lazio	6	+7	16
3	AS Roma	6	+11	14
4	Cagliari	6	+3	13
5	Frosinone	7	+4	13
6	AC Milan	6	+6	12
7	Juventus	6	+4	11
8	Como	6	+3	11

See the full Serie A table