Turkish Super League

Galatasaray vs Goztepe prediction

3 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Galatasaray vs Goztepe (Turkish Super League), 30/08/2026, finished 3-2: Galatasaray won. Before the match Jarvis gave Galatasaray 76%, the draw 16% and Goztepe 8%; the actual result had a 76% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.3.

Next for Galatasaray: Lille (Wed 21/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Galatasaray

76%

Draw

16%

Goztepe

Actual result: Galatasaray 3 – 2 Goztepe · Galatasaray winJarvis gave this outcome: 76% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Galatasaray, negative favours Goztepe) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Galatasaray - Goztepe)+1.81

Expected total goals3.33

Expected goals Galatasaray / Goztepe2.57 / 0.76

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.6% / 50.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.9%

Over 2.5 goals 64.7%

Over 3.5 goals 42.7%

First half

First-half result (Galatasaray / draw / Goztepe)56.5% / 33.1% / 10.4%

A goal in the first half77.2%

Two or more in the first half44.7%

Half-time then full-time

Galatasaray lead at half-time then Galatasaray win53.0%

Level at half-time then Galatasaray win20.4%

Level at half-time then draw9.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Galatasaray's side

Galatasaray −2.043.9%

Galatasaray −1.7549.4%

Galatasaray −1.554.8%

Galatasaray −1.2560.1%

Galatasaray −1.065.4%

Galatasaray −0.7570.7%

Galatasaray −0.576.0%

Galatasaray −0.2579.9%

Galatasaray draw no bet (0.0)83.8%

Galatasaray +0.2587.7%

Galatasaray +0.591.6%

Galatasaray +0.7593.1%

Galatasaray +1.094.6%

Galatasaray +1.597.6%

Galatasaray +2.098.6%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Galatasaray win1.32

Draw6.41

Goztepe win11.91

Over 2.51.55

Under 2.52.83

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Galatasaray wins by more than 1 goals55%

Goztepe wins by more than 1 goals2%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Galatasaray

vs Lille (away)Wed 21/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs VfB StuttgartWed 04/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 30/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.