Italian Serie A
Parma
20:00, 20/09
Kicking off soon
GenoaOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Parma
30%
Draw
34%
Genoa
37%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Parma, negative favours Genoa) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Parma - Genoa)-0.13
Expected total goals2.05
Expected goals Parma / Genoa0.96 / 1.09
Both teams to score (yes / no)42.7% / 57.3%
Total goals
More than 1.5 goals62.4%
More than 2.5 goals33.6%
More than 3.5 goals15.1%
Winning margin
Parma win by 2 or more11.3%
Parma win29.5%
Parma avoid defeat (win or draw)63.5%
Parma lose by no more than 184.5%
First half
First-half result (Parma / draw / Genoa)22.4% / 50.9% / 26.6%
A goal in the first half59.0%
Two or more in the first half24.6%
Half-time then full-time
level then draw23.6%
Genoa ahead then Genoa win21.3%
Parma ahead then Parma win16.9%
Goal margin
Parma wins by more than 1 goals11%
Genoa wins by more than 1 goals15%
Corners
Expected total corners9.0
6.5+ corners in the match54%
Cards
Expected total cards2.8
2.5+ cards in the match53%