Bolivian Liga de Futbol Profesional

Guabira vs Blooming Santa Cruz prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Guabira vs Blooming Santa Cruz (Bolivian Liga de Futbol Profesional), 24/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Guabira 45%, the draw 27% and Blooming Santa Cruz 28%; the actual result had a 27% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Guabira

45%

Draw

27%

Blooming Santa Cruz

28%

Actual result: Guabira 1 – 1 Blooming Santa Cruz · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 27%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Guabira, negative favours Blooming Santa Cruz) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Guabira - Blooming Santa Cruz)+0.42

Expected total goals3.27

Expected goals Guabira / Blooming Santa Cruz1.84 / 1.43

Both teams to score (yes / no)65.9% / 34.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 85.8%

Over 2.5 goals 63.4%

Over 3.5 goals 41.3%

First half

First-half result (Guabira / draw / Blooming Santa Cruz)34.6% / 41.8% / 23.6%

A goal in the first half74.6%

Two or more in the first half45.7%

Half-time then full-time

Guabira lead at half-time then Guabira win28.3%

Blooming Santa Cruz lead at half-time then Blooming Santa Cruz win16.5%

Level at half-time then draw15.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Guabira's side

Guabira −2.019.0%

Guabira −1.7522.6%

Guabira −1.526.2%

Guabira −1.2531.0%

Guabira −1.035.8%

Guabira −0.7540.6%

Guabira −0.545.4%

Guabira −0.2552.1%

Guabira draw no bet (0.0)58.7%

Guabira +0.2565.4%

Guabira +0.572.1%

Guabira +0.7575.7%

Guabira +1.079.3%

Guabira +1.586.5%

Guabira +2.090.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Guabira win2.20

Draw3.75

Blooming Santa Cruz win3.58

Over 2.51.58

Under 2.52.73

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Guabira wins by more than 1 goals26%

Blooming Santa Cruz wins by more than 1 goals13%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 24/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.