Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Levante
5%
Draw
10%
Barcelona
85%
Actual result: Levante 2 – 4 Barcelona · Barcelona winJarvis gave this outcome: 85% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Levante, negative favours Barcelona) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Levante - Barcelona)-2.48
Expected total goals3.98
Expected goals Levante / Barcelona0.75 / 3.23
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.5% / 49.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 90.5%
Over 2.5 goals 75.9%
Over 3.5 goals 56.3%
First half
First-half result (Levante / draw / Barcelona)8.7% / 25.2% / 66.1%
A goal in the first half83.7%
Two or more in the first half53.1%
Half-time then full-time
Barcelona lead at half-time then Barcelona win63.2%
Level at half-time then Barcelona win18.0%
Level at half-time then draw5.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Levante's side
Levante −2.00.8%
Levante −1.751.1%
Levante −1.51.4%
Levante −1.252.4%
Levante −1.03.4%
Levante −0.754.5%
Levante −0.55.5%
Levante −0.257.9%
Levante draw no bet (0.0)10.3%
Levante +0.2512.7%
Levante +0.515.1%
Levante +0.7519.4%
Levante +1.023.7%
Levante +1.532.3%
Levante +2.042.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Levante win18.19
Draw10.41
Barcelona win1.18
Over 2.51.32
Under 2.54.15
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Levante wins by more than 1 goals1%
Barcelona wins by more than 1 goals68%
Corners
Expected total corners9.5
6.5+ corners in the match48%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%