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German Bundesliga

Mgladbach vs Hoffenheim prediction

Mgladbach
22:30, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Hoffenheim

Quick preview

Mgladbach meet Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga, kick-off 22:30 on 18/10 (GMT+7). Jarvis gives Mgladbach a 30% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 45% for Hoffenheim; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-2. Jarvis expects 3.4 goals in the match: both teams score with 68%, 3 or more goals with 67%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Mgladbach
30%
Draw
25%
Hoffenheim
45%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Mgladbach, negative favours Hoffenheim) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Mgladbach - Hoffenheim)-0.38
Expected total goals3.44
Expected goals Mgladbach / Hoffenheim1.53 / 1.91
Both teams to score (yes / no)68.1% / 31.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 87.1%
Over 2.5 goals 66.8%
Over 3.5 goals 45.0%
First half
First-half result (Mgladbach / draw / Hoffenheim)25.3% / 39.5% / 35.2%
A goal in the first half76.9%
Two or more in the first half47.6%
Half-time then full-time
Hoffenheim lead at half-time then Hoffenheim win28.3%
Mgladbach lead at half-time then Mgladbach win17.6%
Level at half-time then Hoffenheim win14.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Mgladbach's side
Mgladbach −2.010.0%
Mgladbach −1.7512.3%
Mgladbach −1.514.6%
Mgladbach −1.2518.4%
Mgladbach −1.022.2%
Mgladbach −0.7526.0%
Mgladbach −0.529.8%
Mgladbach −0.2536.0%
Mgladbach draw no bet (0.0)42.2%
Mgladbach +0.2548.4%
Mgladbach +0.554.6%
Mgladbach +0.7559.4%
Mgladbach +1.064.2%
Mgladbach +1.573.9%
Mgladbach +2.080.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Mgladbach win3.36
Draw4.03
Hoffenheim win2.20
Over 2.51.50
Under 2.53.01

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Mgladbach wins by more than 1 goals15%
Hoffenheim wins by more than 1 goals26%
Corners
Expected total corners10.2
6.5+ corners in the match44%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Mgladbach vs Hoffenheim injury report and team news

Mgladbach
  • J. CastropOut · Shoulder Injury
  • F. FleckOut · Muscle Injury
  • F. HonoratOut · Muscle Injury
  • K. ItakuraOut · Ankle Injury
  • T. KleindienstOut · Muscle Injury
  • E. LeopoldOut · Knee Injury
  • J. LeszczynskiOut · Knee Injury
  • N. KuhnDoubtful · Muscle Injury
Hoffenheim
  • BernardoOut · Red Card
  • A. HajdariOut · Foot Injury
  • P. WimmerOut · Thigh Injury

Mgladbach vs Hoffenheim team form

MgladbachLDWLL
Last 5 matches
11/10/20261. FC Koln (away)1–2
03/10/2026FC St. Pauli (away)1–1
24/09/2026Sportfreunde Siegen (away)3–0
19/09/2026FSV Mainz 05 (home)3–4
12/09/2026SC Freiburg (away)0–5
HoffenheimLLLLW
Last 5 matches
15/10/2026Besiktas (home)2–3
10/10/2026Hamburger SV (home)2–3
20/09/2026SC Paderborn 07 (away)1–3
17/09/2026OFI (away)0–2
12/09/2026VfB Stuttgart (home)2–1

Mgladbach vs Hoffenheim head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Mgladbach won 6, drew 2, lost 2. Mgladbach scored 29 and conceded 19 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/2026Borussia Monchengladbach4–01899 Hoffenheim
14/01/20261899 Hoffenheim5–1Borussia Monchengladbach
03/05/2025Borussia Monchengladbach4–41899 Hoffenheim
21/12/20241899 Hoffenheim1–2Borussia Monchengladbach
20/04/20241899 Hoffenheim4–3Borussia Monchengladbach
02/12/2023Borussia Monchengladbach2–11899 Hoffenheim
28/01/20231899 Hoffenheim1–4Borussia Monchengladbach
06/08/2022Borussia Monchengladbach3–11899 Hoffenheim
14/05/2022Borussia Monchengladbach5–11899 Hoffenheim
18/12/20211899 Hoffenheim1–1Borussia Monchengladbach

Match information

Referee
Soren Storks
Venue
Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach
Round
6

Next fixtures of both teams

Hoffenheim

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Bundesliga table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich6+1714
2Borussia Dortmund6+714
3SC Freiburg5+1013
...
161. FC Union Berlin6-125
17TSG Hoffenheim5-43
18Borussia Monchengladbach5-110

See the full Bundesliga table