English Sky Bet Championship

Millwall vs Norwich prediction

3 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Millwall vs Norwich (English Sky Bet Championship), 22/08/2026, finished 3-0: Millwall won. Before the match Jarvis gave Millwall 40%, the draw 30% and Norwich 31%; the actual result had a 40% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Millwall
40%
Draw
30%
Norwich
31%
Actual result: Millwall 3 – 0 Norwich · Millwall winJarvis gave this outcome: 40% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Millwall, negative favours Norwich) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Millwall - Norwich)+0.19
Expected total goals2.45
Expected goals Millwall / Norwich1.32 / 1.13
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.8% / 49.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 71.4%
Over 2.5 goals 44.3%
Over 3.5 goals 23.1%
First half
First-half result (Millwall / draw / Norwich)29.9% / 45.9% / 24.2%
A goal in the first half65.8%
Two or more in the first half31.1%
Half-time then full-time
Millwall lead at half-time then Millwall win23.7%
Level at half-time then draw19.0%
Norwich lead at half-time then Norwich win17.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Millwall's side
Millwall −2.012.7%
Millwall −1.7515.7%
Millwall −1.518.7%
Millwall −1.2524.0%
Millwall −1.029.3%
Millwall −0.7534.6%
Millwall −0.539.8%
Millwall −0.2547.2%
Millwall draw no bet (0.0)54.6%
Millwall +0.2562.0%
Millwall +0.569.4%
Millwall +0.7573.9%
Millwall +1.078.3%
Millwall +1.587.3%
Millwall +2.091.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Millwall win2.51
Draw3.38
Norwich win3.27
Over 2.52.26
Under 2.51.79

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Millwall wins by more than 1 goals19%
Norwich wins by more than 1 goals13%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 22/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.