English Premier League

Sunderland vs Fulham prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Sunderland vs Fulham (Premier League), 30/08/2026, finished 1-0: Sunderland won. Before the match Jarvis gave Sunderland 38%, the draw 31% and Fulham 31%; the actual result had a 38% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Sunderland

38%

Draw

31%

Fulham

31%

Actual result: Sunderland 1 – 0 Fulham · Sunderland winJarvis gave this outcome: 38% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sunderland, negative favours Fulham) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Sunderland - Fulham)+0.14

Expected total goals2.38

Expected goals Sunderland / Fulham1.26 / 1.12

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.9% / 50.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 70.3%

Over 2.5 goals 42.6%

Over 3.5 goals 21.8%

First half

First-half result (Sunderland / draw / Fulham)28.5% / 47.1% / 24.3%

A goal in the first half64.6%

Two or more in the first half30.3%

Half-time then full-time

Sunderland lead at half-time then Sunderland win22.5%

Level at half-time then draw20.1%

Fulham lead at half-time then Fulham win18.0%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Sunderland's side

Sunderland −2.011.8%

Sunderland −1.7514.7%

Sunderland −1.517.5%

Sunderland −1.2522.7%

Sunderland −1.027.8%

Sunderland −0.7532.9%

Sunderland −0.538.0%

Sunderland −0.2545.7%

Sunderland draw no bet (0.0)53.5%

Sunderland +0.2561.2%

Sunderland +0.568.9%

Sunderland +0.7573.4%

Sunderland +1.077.9%

Sunderland +1.586.9%

Sunderland +2.091.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Sunderland win2.63

Draw3.24

Fulham win3.21

Over 2.52.35

Under 2.51.74

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Sunderland wins by more than 1 goals18%

Fulham wins by more than 1 goals13%

Corners

Expected total corners9.8

6.5+ corners in the match51%

Cards

Expected total cards3.4

2.5+ cards in the match44%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Sunderland

vs AFC Bournemouth (away)Sun 18/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 26% / 30% / 44%
vs Lech Poznan (away)Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Fulham

vs Hull CitySat 17/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 58% / 24% / 18%
vs Coventry City (away)Sat 24/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 30/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	6	+11	18
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	+13	13
...
16	Aston Villa	6	-5	5
17	Sunderland	6	-6	4
18	AFC Bournemouth	6	-6	3
19	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3
20	Fulham	6	-4	2

See the full Premier League table