English Football League Cup

Preston vs Everton prediction

0 – 4

Full-time

Match summary

Preston vs Everton (English Football League Cup), 27/08/2026, finished 0-4: Everton won. Before the match Jarvis gave Preston 13%, the draw 20% and Everton 68%; the actual result had a 68% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Next for Everton: Arsenal (Sat 24/10, 21:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Preston

13%

Draw

20%

Everton

68%

Actual result: Preston 0 – 4 Everton · Everton winJarvis gave this outcome: 68% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Preston, negative favours Everton) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Preston - Everton)-1.34

Expected total goals2.96

Expected goals Preston / Everton0.81 / 2.15

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.4% / 50.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 79.9%

Over 2.5 goals 56.9%

Over 3.5 goals 34.5%

First half

First-half result (Preston / draw / Everton)13.3% / 37.2% / 49.5%

A goal in the first half73.3%

Two or more in the first half38.8%

Half-time then full-time

Everton lead at half-time then Everton win45.1%

Level at half-time then Everton win20.2%

Level at half-time then draw11.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Preston's side

Preston −2.02.3%

Preston −1.753.0%

Preston −1.53.8%

Preston −1.256.0%

Preston −1.08.2%

Preston −0.7510.3%

Preston −0.512.5%

Preston −0.2517.4%

Preston draw no bet (0.0)22.3%

Preston +0.2527.2%

Preston +0.532.1%

Preston +0.7538.1%

Preston +1.044.0%

Preston +1.555.9%

Preston +2.066.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Preston win7.98

Draw5.11

Everton win1.47

Over 2.51.76

Under 2.52.32

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Preston wins by more than 1 goals4%

Everton wins by more than 1 goals44%

Corners

Expected total corners10.2

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Cards

Expected total cards1.9

2.5+ cards in the match29%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Everton

vs Arsenal (away)Sat 24/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
vs Newcastle United (away)Tue 03/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 27/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.