Turkish Super League

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce (Turkish Super League), 31/08/2026, finished 0-2: Fenerbahce won. Before the match Jarvis gave Samsunspor 15%, the draw 23% and Fenerbahce 61%; the actual result had a 61% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Next for Fenerbahce: Slavia Prague (Tue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Samsunspor

15%

Draw

23%

Fenerbahce

61%

Actual result: Samsunspor 0 – 2 Fenerbahce · Fenerbahce winJarvis gave this outcome: 61% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Samsunspor, negative favours Fenerbahce) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Samsunspor - Fenerbahce)-1.08

Expected total goals2.92

Expected goals Samsunspor / Fenerbahce0.92 / 2.00

Both teams to score (yes / no)53.1% / 46.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 80.0%

Over 2.5 goals 55.9%

Over 3.5 goals 33.5%

First half

First-half result (Samsunspor / draw / Fenerbahce)15.1% / 40.2% / 44.7%

A goal in the first half72.0%

Two or more in the first half39.0%

Half-time then full-time

Fenerbahce lead at half-time then Fenerbahce win39.9%

Level at half-time then Fenerbahce win19.7%

Level at half-time then draw14.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Samsunspor's side

Samsunspor −2.03.4%

Samsunspor −1.754.4%

Samsunspor −1.55.4%

Samsunspor −1.257.9%

Samsunspor −1.010.4%

Samsunspor −0.7512.9%

Samsunspor −0.515.4%

Samsunspor −0.2521.2%

Samsunspor draw no bet (0.0)27.0%

Samsunspor +0.2532.8%

Samsunspor +0.538.6%

Samsunspor +0.7544.4%

Samsunspor +1.050.2%

Samsunspor +1.561.7%

Samsunspor +2.071.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Samsunspor win6.50

Draw4.31

Fenerbahce win1.63

Over 2.51.79

Under 2.52.27

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Samsunspor wins by more than 1 goals5%

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1 goals38%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Fenerbahce

vs Slavia PragueTue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs LiverpoolThu 05/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 31/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.