German Bundesliga

Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich prediction

0 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich (Bundesliga), 05/09/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Schalke 04 6%, the draw 10% and Bayern Munich 84%; the actual result had a 10% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-3. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 4.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Schalke 04
6%
Draw
10%
Bayern Munich
84%
Actual result: Schalke 04 0 – 0 Bayern Munich · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 10%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Schalke 04, negative favours Bayern Munich) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich)-2.47
Expected total goals4.18
Expected goals Schalke 04 / Bayern Munich0.86 / 3.33
Both teams to score (yes / no)55.5% / 44.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 92.1%
Over 2.5 goals 78.7%
Over 3.5 goals 60.1%
First half
First-half result (Schalke 04 / draw / Bayern Munich)9.4% / 25.2% / 65.4%
A goal in the first half84.8%
Two or more in the first half56.0%
Half-time then full-time
Bayern Munich lead at half-time then Bayern Munich win62.4%
Level at half-time then Bayern Munich win17.8%
Level at half-time then draw5.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Schalke 04's side
Schalke 04 −2.01.0%
Schalke 04 −1.751.4%
Schalke 04 −1.51.7%
Schalke 04 −1.252.8%
Schalke 04 −1.03.9%
Schalke 04 −0.755.0%
Schalke 04 −0.56.0%
Schalke 04 −0.258.6%
Schalke 04 draw no bet (0.0)11.1%
Schalke 04 +0.2513.6%
Schalke 04 +0.516.1%
Schalke 04 +0.7520.3%
Schalke 04 +1.024.5%
Schalke 04 +1.532.8%
Schalke 04 +2.042.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Schalke 04 win16.55
Draw9.92
Bayern Munich win1.19
Over 2.51.27
Under 2.54.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Schalke 04 wins by more than 1 goals2%
Bayern Munich wins by more than 1 goals67%
Corners
Expected total corners9.8
6.5+ corners in the match52%
Cards
Expected total cards12.0
2.5+ cards in the match95%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs FC Cologne (away)Sat 24/10, 20:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27
  • vs RB LeipzigSat 31/10, 21:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27
  • vs ArsenalThu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs SC Freiburg (away)Sun 25/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · Bundesliga 26-27

Other matches on 05/09 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

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